Thursday’s game between the Norfolk State Spartans (6-6) and the Alabama State Hornets (4-6) at Mohegan Sun Arena has a projected final score of 80-73 based on our computer prediction, with Norfolk State taking home the win. Game time is at 5:00 PM ET on December 19.

According to our computer prediction, Norfolk State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 4.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 149.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. Norfolk State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, December 19, 2024
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Uncasville, Connecticut
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
• Line: Alabama State -4.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -200, Norfolk State +164

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Alabama State vs. Norfolk State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Norfolk State 80, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Norfolk State

• Pick ATS: Norfolk State (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (149.5)

Alabama State has a 4-4-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Norfolk State, who is 7-3-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Hornets are 5-3-0 and the Spartans are 6-4-0. The two teams average 155.1 points per game, 5.6 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets’ -29 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.3 points per game (101st in college basketball) while giving up 82.2 per outing (352nd in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 8.5 boards on average. It records 31.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 272nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 39.7 per outing.
• Alabama State connects on 10.5 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball) at a 35.2% rate (122nd in college basketball), compared to the 9 per game its opponents make at a 34.5% rate.
• The Hornets rank 198th in college basketball by averaging 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 340th in college basketball, allowing 99.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.6 (second in college basketball action) while forcing 11.4 (237th in college basketball).

Norfolk State Performance Insights

• The Spartans have a +71 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.9 points per game. They’re putting up 75.8 points per game, 192nd in college basketball, and are giving up 69.9 per outing to rank 147th in college basketball.
• Norfolk State comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It pulls down 28.5 rebounds per game (336th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.7.
• Norfolk State hits 6.4 three-pointers per game (306th in college basketball), 2.9 fewer than its opponents.
• Norfolk State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 11.5 per game (165th in college basketball) while forcing 13 (121st in college basketball).

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