The Washington Commanders will play the Atlanta Falcons at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Commanders will earn a victory — keep scrolling for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Commanders own the 19th-ranked defense this season (23.2 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fourth-best with 28.8 points per game. In terms of total yards, the Falcons rank 10th in the NFL (360.9 total yards per game) and 16th defensively (335.3 total yards allowed per contest).

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Commanders vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.5% in this matchup.
• Washington has covered the spread nine times in 15 games this season.
• The Commanders have covered the spread three times this season (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• So far this season, 10 of Washington’s 15 games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Commanders games this season.

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Falcons Betting Info

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 39.2% chance to win.
• Atlanta has put together a 6-8-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• So far this year, five of Atlanta’s 15 games with a set number have hit the over.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (46).

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Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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