On Saturday, March 1 at 12:30 p.m. ET, the Tampa Bay Lightning are slated to square off against the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena. For best bets, picks, and projections for this game, continue reading.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, 31 of Tampa Bay’s 58 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 6 goals.
• In Washington’s 59 games this season, 32 have finished with more goals than Saturday’s over/under of 6.
• The Lightning score 3.57 goals per game, compared to the Capitals’ average of 3.63, adding up to 1.2 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.
• These two teams give up a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.8 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

• The Lightning have been victorious in 28 of their 42 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).
• Tampa Bay is 28-14 (victorious in 66.7% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 52.6% chance to win.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

• In Washington’s 25 games playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has 17 wins.
• The Capitals have won 17 games with moneyline odds of -109 or longer (in 25 such games).
• Washington’s implied probability to win is 52.2% based on the moneyline odds.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov has been critical to Tampa Bay’s offense this season, registering 85 points in 55 games.
• Brandon Hagel is another of Tampa Bay’s major contributors currently with 67 total points (29 goals and 38 assists) to his name.
• Through 53 games, Brayden Point has proven himself as a contributor for Tampa Bay. He has 60 points (31 goals and 29 assists).
• As Tampa Bay’s top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 28 wins and 15 losses this season while giving up 100 goals with 1182 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

• Dylan Strome is a leading scorer for Washington, with 59 points this season. He has recorded 18 goals and 41 assists in 59 games.
• Aliaksei Protas has made a major impact for Washington this season with 50 points, thanks to 23 goals and 27 assists.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has 14 goals and 35 assists, for a season point total of 49.
• Logan Thompson has a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league), with 855 total saves, while conceding 75 goals (2.3 goals against average). He has put up a 25-3-5 record between the posts for Washington this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Capitals’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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