How to Pick the Capitals vs. Senators Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 3

Published 12:44 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025

There are a variety of betting options to consider for the upcoming matchup that has the Washington Capitals facing off against the Ottawa Senators at 6:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 3. To get you prepared to place a bet or build a parlay, check out our best bets and projections below.

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Capitals vs. Senators Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)

  • This season, Washington games have gone over this one’s 5.5-goal total 32 times.
  • So far this season, 28 games Ottawa has played finished with more than 5.5 goals.
  • The Capitals score 3.58 goals per game, compared to the Senators’ average of 2.8, adding up to 0.9 more goals than this contest’s total of 5.5.
  • These two teams give up a combined 5.4 goals per game, 0.1 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -162

  • In the 34 times this season the Capitals have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 21-13 in those games.
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Washington is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of the time).
  • Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Capitals’ implied win probability is 61.8%.

Senators Moneyline: +135

  • In Ottawa’s 28 games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has 12 wins.
  • When the Senators’ moneyline odds are +135 or longer, they have won three games in 12 opportunities.
  • Ottawa’s implied probability to win this matchup is 42.6% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Ottawa 2

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome is one of Washington’s leading contributors this season with 59 points. He has averaged 0.3 goals per game, shooting 16.5%.
  • Aliaksei Protas has 23 goals and 27 assists for Washington to compile 50 total points (0.8 per game).
  • Through 60 games, Pierre-Luc Dubois has proven himself as a scoring option for Washington. He has 49 points (14 goals and 35 assists).
  • Across 34 games played, Logan Thompson has a goaltending record of 25-4-5. During those games, he’s allowed 77 goals while recording 871 saves.

Senators Points Leaders

  • Ottawa’s Tim Stutzle has totaled 42 assists and 19 goals in 59 games, good for 61 points.
  • Drake Batherson is key for Ottawa’s offense with 47 total points (0.8 per game), including 16 goals and 31 assists through 59 contests.
  • Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk has 43 points (22 goals, 21 assists) this season.
  • Linus Ullmark has a .911 save percentage (13th in the league), with 706 total saves, while giving up 69 goals (2.7 goals against average). He has put up a 13-11-2 record between the posts for Ottawa this season.

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/25/2025 Flames L 3-1 Home -201
2/27/2025 Blues L 5-2 Home -164
3/1/2025 Lightning L 3-1 Home -103
3/3/2025 Senators Home -162
3/5/2025 Rangers Away
3/7/2025 Red Wings Home
3/9/2025 Kraken Home

Senators’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/22/2025 Canadiens L 5-2 Home -160
2/26/2025 Jets L 4-1 Home +129
3/1/2025 Sharks W 5-3 Home -311
3/3/2025 Capitals Away +135
3/5/2025 Blackhawks Away
3/8/2025 Rangers Home
3/10/2025 Red Wings Home

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Washington vs. Ottawa Game Info

  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

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