Heat vs. Wizards Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 3

Published 7:16 am Monday, March 3, 2025

The Miami Heat (28-31) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Washington Wizards (11-48) on Monday, March 3, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Heat are favored by 8.5 points in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season.

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Heat vs. Wizards Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and MNMT2
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Wizards Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 120 – Wizards 106

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Wizards

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 8.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-13.8)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (219.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 225.2
  • The Heat have a 28-31-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 27-32-0 mark of the Wizards.
  • As an 8.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Washington is 17-24 against the spread compared to the 3-4 ATS record Miami racks up as an 8.5-point favorite.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total 55.9% of the time this season (33 out of 59), which is more often than Washington’s games have (30 out of 59).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Wizards are 11-48, while the Heat are 19-13 as moneyline favorites.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • So far this season, the Heat are scoring 110.3 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 110.9 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
  • Miami ranks 21st in the NBA with 43.7 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with 45.2 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Heat are delivering 26.3 dimes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Miami ranks sixth in the NBA with 12.7 turnovers per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 25th with 12.5 forced turnovers per game.
  • So far this year, the Heat are sinking 13.9 treys per game (10th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 36.1% (14th-ranked) from downtown.

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Wizards Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Wizards are the fourth-worst squad in the NBA (108.4 points per game). Defensively, they are the worst (120.8 points conceded per game).
  • Washington is 20th in the league in rebounds per game (43.8) and worst in rebounds allowed (47.6).
  • This season the Wizards are ranked 21st in the NBA in assists at 25.2 per game.
  • Washington is the third-worst team in the NBA in turnovers per game (15.5) and 23rd in turnovers forced (12.6).
  • In 2024-25 the Wizards are 17th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13 per game) and second-worst in 3-point percentage (33.4%).

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