NFL Week 12

Published 7:36 pm Saturday, November 22, 2008

Houston (3-7) at Cleveland (4-6) – 1 p.m.

On Monday, Cleveland was a 56-yard field goal by Phil Dawson away from becoming the first team in NFL history to blow three straight games when leading by 13 or more at some point in each game.

Line – Browns by 3

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My pick – Browns 21-17

Buffalo (5-5) at Kansas City (1-9) – 1 p.m.

A few weeks into the season, Buffalo was atop its division and was the favorite to stay there after Tom Brady’s injury. Trent Edwards has thrown eight interceptions in the last four games, all losses, one game to each divisional foe and Monday to the Browns. Now, Buffalo’s in last place.

Line – Bills by 3

My pick – Bills 34-14

New England (6-4) at Miami (6-4) – 1 p.m.

The two teams tied for second, a game behind the Jets, in the AFC East meet in a rematch of the 38-13 Miami win in week three. What changes will Bill Belichick have come up with to defend Miami’s “Wildcat” plays?

Line – Miami by 1

My pick – Patriots 24-17

N.Y. Jets (7-3) at Tennessee (10-0) – 1 p.m.

Brett Favre stands in the way of the Titans continuing a perfect season. It just goes to show why the NFL is successful. Who could’ve guessed this being the marquee for an NFL Sunday three months ago?

Line – Titans by 5.5

My pick – Jets 27-26

Philadelphia (5-4-1) at Baltimore (6-4) – 1 p.m.

Donovan McNabb is widely considered to be one of the smartest players in the league. So, if McNabb didn’t know how overtime in the NFL works, how many other players don’t know?

Enough of that, this game is hugely important to both teams. Joe Flacco’s done the job against every team the Ravens had a good shot at beating. He’s lost against Pittsburgh, Indy, Tennessee and the Giants. The Eagles and Ravens are evenly matched, so it’ll be interesting to see how he does.

Line – Ravens by 1.5

My pick – Eagles 20-17

San Francisco (3-7) at Dallas (6-4) – 1 p.m.

Dallas hasn’t scored more than 14 points in its last four games, so Terrell Owens is complaining about not getting the ball enough. In other news, the 49ers are still bad.

Line – Dallas by 10

My pick – Cowboys 28-13

Tampa Bay (7-3) at Detroit (0-10) – 1 p.m.

A Titan loss or a Lion win? Which would you put your money on? Maybe not, but it seems that’s a common question for Detroit, yet GM Matt Millen is still there. It should be a heart-warming Thanksgiving in Detroit for a national TV audience to see, and hear.

Line – Bucs by 7.5

My pick – Tampa Bay 14-9

Minnesota (5-5) at Jacksonville (4-6) – 1 p.m.

Adrian Peterson needs 150 yards per game for the rest of the season to reach 2,000. More critically, 5-5 has the Vikings, Pack and Bears tied in the NFC North.

Line – Jaguars by 2.5

My pick – Jags 23-14

Chicago (5-5) at St. Louis (2-8) – 1 p.m.

The Bears are 3-3 in their last six games, but two of the three wins have come thanks to Detroit. Fortunately, the Rams are almost as bad as Detroit.

Line – Bears by 7.5

My pick – Bears 22-10

Oakland (2-8) at Denver (6-4) – 4 p.m.

Unlike the situation in Detroit, no one can fire Al Davis since he owns the Raiders. Lane Kiffin should consider himself fortunate, he’ll have a better opportunity come along soon enough. Denver leads S.D. by two games. Jay Cutler leads the third-best passing offense in the league.

Line – Denver by 9

My pick – Denver 31-7

Carolina (8-2) at Atlanta (6-4) – 4 p.m.

Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger look an awful lot alike, except Ryan will always be a better fantasy draft pick thanks to the Georgia Dome vs. Pittsburgh in November-January. Carolina’s defense, giving up just 15 points per game, still looks like too much for Ryan right now.

Line – Atlanta by 1

My pick – Carolina 20-13

N.Y. Giants (9-1) at Arizona (7-3) – 4 p.m.

The Giants rushed for 207 yards last week in their 30-10 win over the Ravens. Baltimore hadn’t allowed more than 76 rushing yards to a team this season and hadn’t allowed 200 or more in a game since 1997.

Line – Giants by 3

My pick – Giants 35-21

Washington (6-4) at Seattle (2-8) – 4 p.m.

This Seattle team is a far cry from the Seahawks who ended Redskin seasons two of the last three years. The Redskins can’t look ahead to the Giants. Win this game, and a loss to N.Y. doesn’t doom the Redskins. Drop both, and Washington has no margin for error in its last four games.

Line – Redskins by 3.5

My pick – Redskins 30-17

Indianapolis (6-4) at San Diego (4-6) – 8:15 p.m.

Normally, this is a game which falls into the category of “exciting” yet “both teams are set for the playoffs, so in reality it’s not so important.” This year, both teams are fighting for their playoff lives.

Line – Chargers by 2.5

My pick – Colts 28-14

Green Bay (5-5) at New Orleans (5-5) – Monday, 8:30 p.m.

At 5-5, the Saints are last in their division. At 5-5, the Packers are tied for first in their division and looking good if they can get a road win. The Saints have the top passing offense and overall offense (in yardage) in the NFL, which tells you about the Saints’ defense.

Line – New Orleans by 2.5

My pick – Saints 34-31

Last week – 7-8

For the season – 94-64