5 Must-Try NFL Betting Systems This 2023-24

Published 9:02 am Monday, December 18, 2023

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The Super Bowl LVIII is drawing closer. We’re now in Week 13 of 18 of the NFL 2023-24 season. With the much-anticipated match-ups, all football betting enthusiasts are in high spirits. Each seeks the same goal: maximize and subsequently boost their bankroll. 

While it helps to seek professional advice from bookies, they still have weak spots. Theoretically, their task is only to get as much action on the different betting options in a match-up, not so much to choose the game. 

If you’re a savvy bettor, you’ll do due diligence to research the ins and outs of the game and teams. More importantly, you’ll take advantage of powerful weapons like “NFL betting systems.” To help you get started, here are five of the many systems you should try. 

411 System

Allen Eastman claimed that his “411 System” is the most profitable and all-encompassing NFL betting system of all time, and it’s true! It has a 90% win rate and takes into account around 50 variables in the NFL, including coaching, defense, quarterback play, and even weather. 

The advantage of 411 is that its scoring system is constantly changing and in flux. It can easily adapt and adjust to an ever-changing NFL environment, where players and their conditions, coaches, and weather change every single time, unlike other consistent systems. 

Unfortunately, Eastman passed away without revealing all the 50+ variables. But the idea is that each component is designated with a point value, and each team is scored and compared based on those ratings based on those ratings each week.

The good news is that you can still use the 411. Several sportsbooks offering NFL betting odds and professional gamblers tried to unveil its secrets and recreated it in hopes of achieving its 90% win rate. They still call it the “411 System” in homage to its originator, so simply google the name to learn more. 

Underdogs with Low Total

This system is based on the belief that when there aren’t expected to be many points scored in a game (a total less than or equal to 42), the underdog (the team predicted to lose) tends to turn the table and do well. 

In the past five NFL seasons, underdogs in games where the total points expected is 42 or less have won against the spread 148 times, lost 110 times, and tied 5 times. If we include the most recent 2023-24 season, their record becomes 186 wins, 135 losses, and 7 ties.

It works even better when the teams playing are from the same division. In the last five seasons, underdogs in divisional games with a total of 42 or fewer points have covered the spread 58.9% of the time, with a record of 76 wins, 53 losses, and 4 ties. For Week 13, the teams that fit this strategy are the Browns, Cardinals, Panthers, Jets, Patriots, and Bengals.

Road Dog to Home Favorite 

In addition to underdogs with low totals, it’s often a good idea to bet against teams that, after being considered the underdog in an away game, are now considered the favorite in a home game.

The theory here is that if a team was seen as not very likely to win on the road, there might not be much difference between them and the team they’re playing against when the game is at home. Another factor to consider is that the team, now seen as the favorite, didn’t make it to the playoffs in the previous season. 

Patrick Mahomes Favorite of -3.5 or Higher 

As the name implies, this system focuses entirely on the Kansas City Chiefs’s popular quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. If he’s playing and his team is favored by 3.5 points or more, it might be a good idea to bet against them. Under this condition, he might have a record of 32 wins, 36 losses, and 1 tie against the spread throughout his career.

On the contrary, when Mahomes and the Chiefs are listed as favorites with a point spread between -3 and +10, the picture changes significantly. In this scenario, Mahomes will likely have a more favorable record of 14 wins, 4 losses, and 1 tie against the spread.

Final Thoughts

These betting systems highlight patterns that can guide decisions. However, remember that sports outcomes are unpredictable. Be mindful of the trends discussed, but always gamble responsibly.